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Potential Gains from Capital Flight Repatriation for Sub-Saharan African Countries

机译:撒哈拉以南非洲国家资本外逃遣返的潜在收益

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摘要

Despite the recent increase in capital flows to Sub-Saharan Africa, the region remains largely marginalized in financial globalization and chronically dependent on official development aid. And with the potential decline in the level of official development assistance in a context of global financial crisis, the need to increase domestic resources mobilization as well as non-debt generating external resources is critical now more than ever before. However, the debate on resource mobilization has overlooked an important untapped source of funds consisting of the massive stocks of private wealth stashed in Western financial centers, a substantial part of which left the region in the form of capital flight. This paper argues that the repatriation of flight capital should take a more prominent place in this debate from a moral standpoint and for clear economic reasons. On the moral side, the argument is that a large proportion of the capital flight legitimately belongs to the Africans and therefore must be restituted to the legitimate claimants. The economic argument is that repatriation of flight capital will propel the sub-continent on a higher sustainable growth path while preserving its financial stability and without mortgaging the welfare of its future generations through external borrowing. The analysis in the paper demonstrates quantitatively that the gains from repatriation are large and dominate the expected benefits from other sources such as debt relief. It is estimated that if only a quarter of the stock of capital flight was repatriated to Sub-Saharan Africa, the region would go from trailing to leading other developing regions in terms of domestic investment, thus initiating a ‘big-push’-led sustainable long-term economic growth. The paper proposes some strategies for inducing capital flight repatriation, but cautions that the success of this program is contingent on strong political will on the part of African and Western governments and effective coordination and cooperation at the global level.
机译:尽管最近流向撒哈拉以南非洲的资本增加了,但该地区在金融全球化中仍然处于边缘地位,并长期依赖官方发展援助。在全球金融危机的背景下,随着官方发展援助水平的潜在下降,现在比以往任何时候都更加需要增加国内资源的动员以及不产生债务的外部资源。但是,关于资源动员的辩论却忽视了一个重要的未开发资金来源,其中包括大量藏在西方金融中心的私人财富,其中很大一部分以资本外逃的形式离开了该地区。本文认为,从道德的角度和明确的经济原因出发,在本次辩论中,返还飞行资金应占据更重要的位置。从道义上讲,论点是,资本外逃的很大一部分合法地属于非洲人,因此必须归还给合法的索偿人。经济上的论点是,归还飞行资金将推动次大陆走上更高的可持续增长道路,同时保持其金融稳定,而不会通过外部借贷损害其子孙后代的福利。本文的分析定量地表明,遣返收益巨大,并且支配了债务减免等其他来源的预期收益。据估计,如果仅将四分之一的资本外逃归还给撒哈拉以南非洲,则该地区在国内投资方面将从落后于其他发展中地区领先,从而启动以“大推动”为主导的可持续发展。长期的经济增长。本文提出了一些诱使资本外逃的战略,但要注意的是,该计划的成功取决于非洲和西方政府的强烈政治意愿以及全球范围内的有效协调与合作。

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